Predicted scoreLean
Baylor
25.6
Arizona
31.3
Arizona win probability: 64%
Margin (Arizona − Baylor): 5.7 (80% range -14 to 27)
Total: 56.9 (80% range 33 to 82)
Actual: Baylor 17 – Arizona 41 (margin error 18.3, total error 1.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.