2025 Week 13 · Nov 22, 2025, 5:00 PM · Lane Stadium
Miami @ Virginia Tech
Predicted scoreLikely
Miami
36.8
Virginia Tech
20.3
Virginia Tech win probability: 16%
Margin (Virginia Tech − Miami): -16.5 (80% range -38 to 4)
Total: 57.1 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: Miami 34 – Virginia Tech 17 (margin error 0.5, total error 6.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 38 | 17 | 0.79% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.64% |
| 28 | 14 | 0.63% |
| 38 | 14 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.