2025 Week 12 · Nov 16, 2025, 12:45 AM · Memorial Stadium

Mississippi State @ Missouri

Predicted scoreLean

Mississippi State

24.3

Missouri

30.5

Missouri win probability: 65%

Margin (Missouri − Mississippi State): 6.2 (80% range -14 to 27)

Total: 54.7 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Mississippi State 27 – Missouri 49 (margin error 15.8, total error 21.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.