Predicted scoreLean
Utah
33.7
Baylor
25.2
Baylor win probability: 30%
Margin (Baylor − Utah): -8.6 (80% range -29 to 13)
Total: 58.9 (80% range 34 to 85)
Actual: Utah 55 – Baylor 28 (margin error 18.4, total error 24.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.59% |
| 38 | 24 | 0.58% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.55% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.