2025 Week 12 · Nov 15, 2025, 6:00 PM · Mountain America Stadium

West Virginia @ Arizona State

Predicted scoreLikely

West Virginia

20.4

Arizona State

33.3

Arizona State win probability: 79%

Margin (Arizona State − West Virginia): 12.9 (80% range -7 to 34)

Total: 53.6 (80% range 31 to 78)

Actual: West Virginia 23 – Arizona State 25 (margin error 10.9, total error 5.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.