2025 Week 12 · Nov 15, 2025, 5:00 PM · Boone Pickens Stadium

Kansas State @ Oklahoma State

Predicted scoreConfident

Kansas State

34.4

Oklahoma State

17.3

Oklahoma State win probability: 14%

Margin (Oklahoma State − Kansas State): -17.1 (80% range -38 to 3)

Total: 51.8 (80% range 30 to 76)

Actual: Kansas State 14 – Oklahoma State 6 (margin error 9.1, total error 31.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.