2025 Week 12 · Nov 15, 2025, 5:00 PM · Nippert Stadium
Arizona @ Cincinnati
Predicted scoreToss-up
Arizona
27.6
Cincinnati
28.6
Cincinnati win probability: 52%
Margin (Cincinnati − Arizona): 1.0 (80% range -20 to 21)
Total: 56.2 (80% range 32 to 82)
Actual: Arizona 30 – Cincinnati 24 (margin error 7.0, total error 2.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.58% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.