Predicted scoreLean
Kansas
26.4
Arizona
32.0
Arizona win probability: 63%
Margin (Arizona − Kansas): 5.6 (80% range -15 to 27)
Total: 58.4 (80% range 34 to 84)
Actual: Kansas 20 – Arizona 24 (margin error 1.6, total error 14.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.57% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.