2025 Week 11 · Nov 8, 2025, 5:00 PM · Jones AT&T Stadium
BYU @ Texas Tech
Predicted scoreToss-up
BYU
23.0
Texas Tech
26.0
Texas Tech win probability: 57%
Margin (Texas Tech − BYU): 3.0 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 48.9 (80% range 27 to 73)
Actual: BYU 7 – Texas Tech 29 (margin error 19.0, total error 12.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.61% |
| 17 | 14 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.