2025 Week 11 · Nov 8, 2025, 5:00 PM · Davis Wade Stadium
Georgia @ Mississippi State
Predicted scoreLean
Georgia
32.4
Mississippi State
25.3
Mississippi State win probability: 33%
Margin (Mississippi State − Georgia): -7.1 (80% range -28 to 14)
Total: 57.6 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: Georgia 41 – Mississippi State 21 (margin error 12.9, total error 4.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 38 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 21 | 0.65% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.