2025 Week 11 · Nov 5, 2025, 12:00 AM · InfoCision Stadium
Massachusetts @ Akron
Predicted scoreLean
Massachusetts
21.9
Akron
27.5
Akron win probability: 64%
Margin (Akron − Massachusetts): 5.6 (80% range -14 to 25)
Total: 49.4 (80% range 27 to 73)
Actual: Massachusetts 10 – Akron 44 (margin error 28.4, total error 4.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.89% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.70% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.