Predicted scoreToss-up
Arizona
25.7
Colorado
28.0
Colorado win probability: 55%
Margin (Colorado − Arizona): 2.3 (80% range -18 to 23)
Total: 53.8 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Arizona 52 – Colorado 17 (margin error 37.3, total error 15.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.