2025 Week 10 · Nov 1, 2025, 7:30 PM · Bill Snyder Family Stadium

Texas Tech @ Kansas State

Predicted scoreToss-up

Texas Tech

23.2

Kansas State

22.8

Kansas State win probability: 49%

Margin (Kansas State − Texas Tech): -0.4 (80% range -20 to 18)

Total: 46.0 (80% range 24 to 69)

Actual: Texas Tech 43 – Kansas State 20 (margin error 22.6, total error 17.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.