Predicted scoreLikely
Indiana
34.2
Maryland
18.1
Maryland win probability: 15%
Margin (Maryland − Indiana): -16.0 (80% range -36 to 4)
Total: 52.3 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Indiana 55 – Maryland 10 (margin error 29.0, total error 12.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 10 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 10 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 7 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.