Predicted scoreToss-up
Delaware
25.7
Liberty
24.9
Liberty win probability: 48%
Margin (Liberty − Delaware): -0.8 (80% range -21 to 20)
Total: 50.6 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Delaware 30 – Liberty 59 (margin error 29.8, total error 38.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.75% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.