2025 Week 10 · Nov 1, 2025, 4:00 PM · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)

Rutgers @ Illinois

Predicted scoreLikely

Rutgers

26.4

Illinois

37.2

Illinois win probability: 74%

Margin (Illinois − Rutgers): 10.8 (80% range -10 to 32)

Total: 63.5 (80% range 38 to 90)

Actual: Rutgers 13 – Illinois 35 (margin error 11.2, total error 15.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.