2025 Week 10 · Oct 29, 2025, 12:00 AM · Fifth Third Stadium

UTEP @ Kennesaw State

Predicted scoreLean

UTEP

20.7

Kennesaw State

24.9

Kennesaw State win probability: 61%

Margin (Kennesaw State − UTEP): 4.2 (80% range -15 to 24)

Total: 45.6 (80% range 24 to 68)

Actual: UTEP 20 – Kennesaw State 33 (margin error 8.8, total error 7.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.