2025 Week 10 · Oct 29, 2025, 12:00 AM · Fifth Third Stadium
UTEP @ Kennesaw State
Predicted scoreLean
UTEP
20.7
Kennesaw State
24.9
Kennesaw State win probability: 61%
Margin (Kennesaw State − UTEP): 4.2 (80% range -15 to 24)
Total: 45.6 (80% range 24 to 68)
Actual: UTEP 20 – Kennesaw State 33 (margin error 8.8, total error 7.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.85% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.83% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.