2025 Week 9 · Oct 25, 2025, 8:00 PM · Nippert Stadium
Baylor @ Cincinnati
Predicted scoreToss-up
Baylor
30.3
Cincinnati
34.0
Cincinnati win probability: 59%
Margin (Cincinnati − Baylor): 3.7 (80% range -18 to 25)
Total: 64.3 (80% range 38 to 90)
Actual: Baylor 20 – Cincinnati 41 (margin error 17.3, total error 3.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.59% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.57% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.55% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.55% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.