2025 Week 9 · Oct 25, 2025, 7:30 PM · Gesa Field
Toledo @ Washington State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Toledo
25.6
Washington State
28.3
Washington State win probability: 57%
Margin (Washington State − Toledo): 2.7 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 54.0 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Toledo 7 – Washington State 28 (margin error 18.3, total error 19.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.67% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.