2025 Week 9 · Oct 25, 2025, 4:00 PM · Memorial Stadium
Kansas State @ Kansas
Predicted scoreToss-up
Kansas State
26.1
Kansas
29.2
Kansas win probability: 58%
Margin (Kansas − Kansas State): 3.1 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 55.3 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Kansas State 42 – Kansas 17 (margin error 28.1, total error 3.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.63% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.