2025 Week 8 · Oct 19, 2025, 12:00 AM · Boone Pickens Stadium

Cincinnati @ Oklahoma State

Predicted scoreLikely

Cincinnati

34.7

Oklahoma State

22.8

Oklahoma State win probability: 23%

Margin (Oklahoma State − Cincinnati): -11.9 (80% range -33 to 9)

Total: 57.5 (80% range 34 to 83)

Actual: Cincinnati 49 – Oklahoma State 17 (margin error 20.1, total error 8.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.