Predicted scoreToss-up
Utah
26.9
BYU
25.3
BYU win probability: 46%
Margin (BYU − Utah): -1.5 (80% range -21 to 18)
Total: 52.2 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Utah 21 – BYU 24 (margin error 4.5, total error 7.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.