2025 Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025, 11:30 PM · JMA Wireless Dome
Pittsburgh @ Syracuse
Predicted scoreToss-up
Pittsburgh
26.5
Syracuse
27.0
Syracuse win probability: 51%
Margin (Syracuse − Pittsburgh): 0.5 (80% range -20 to 21)
Total: 53.5 (80% range 31 to 78)
Actual: Pittsburgh 30 – Syracuse 13 (margin error 17.5, total error 10.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.