2025 Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025, 8:00 PM · Mountain America Stadium

Texas Tech @ Arizona State

Predicted scoreToss-up

Texas Tech

26.8

Arizona State

23.3

Arizona State win probability: 41%

Margin (Arizona State − Texas Tech): -3.4 (80% range -24 to 17)

Total: 50.1 (80% range 28 to 74)

Actual: Texas Tech 22 – Arizona State 26 (margin error 7.4, total error 2.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.