2025 Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025, 7:30 PM · Kidd Brewer Stadium

Coastal Carolina @ App State

Predicted scoreToss-up

Coastal Carolina

21.7

App State

23.9

App State win probability: 55%

Margin (App State − Coastal Carolina): 2.1 (80% range -17 to 21)

Total: 45.6 (80% range 24 to 68)

Actual: Coastal Carolina 45 – App State 37 (margin error 10.1, total error 36.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.