2025 Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025, 6:00 PM · Glass Bowl
Kent State @ Toledo
Predicted scoreConfident
Kent State
15.0
Toledo
36.1
Toledo win probability: 91%
Margin (Toledo − Kent State): 21.1 (80% range 0 to 42)
Total: 51.1 (80% range 29 to 75)
Actual: Kent State 10 – Toledo 45 (margin error 13.9, total error 3.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 0.87% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 10 | 35 | 0.74% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.74% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.