2025 Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025, 4:00 PM · FirstBank Stadium
LSU @ Vanderbilt
Predicted scoreToss-up
LSU
28.3
Vanderbilt
29.3
Vanderbilt win probability: 53%
Margin (Vanderbilt − LSU): 1.1 (80% range -20 to 21)
Total: 57.6 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: LSU 24 – Vanderbilt 31 (margin error 5.9, total error 2.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.81% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.