2025 Week 7 · Oct 12, 2025, 2:15 AM · Rice-Eccles Stadium
Arizona State @ Utah
Predicted scoreLean
Arizona State
23.2
Utah
29.8
Utah win probability: 66%
Margin (Utah − Arizona State): 6.6 (80% range -14 to 27)
Total: 53.0 (80% range 30 to 77)
Actual: Arizona State 10 – Utah 42 (margin error 25.4, total error 1.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.72% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.67% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.