Predicted scoreLean
BYU
26.5
Arizona
22.6
Arizona win probability: 40%
Margin (Arizona − BYU): -4.0 (80% range -24 to 16)
Total: 49.1 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: BYU 33 – Arizona 27 (margin error 2.0, total error 10.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.