2025 Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025, 11:00 PM · Brooks Stadium (SC)
UL Monroe @ Coastal Carolina
Predicted scoreLean
UL Monroe
22.1
Coastal Carolina
26.4
Coastal Carolina win probability: 61%
Margin (Coastal Carolina − UL Monroe): 4.3 (80% range -15 to 24)
Total: 48.5 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: UL Monroe 8 – Coastal Carolina 23 (margin error 10.7, total error 17.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 21 | 0.83% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.72% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.