Predicted scoreToss-up
Nebraska
23.0
Maryland
23.8
Maryland win probability: 52%
Margin (Maryland − Nebraska): 0.8 (80% range -18 to 21)
Total: 46.7 (80% range 24 to 69)
Actual: Nebraska 34 – Maryland 31 (margin error 3.8, total error 18.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.82% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.75% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.