2025 Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025, 6:30 PM · Dix Stadium
Massachusetts @ Kent State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Massachusetts
26.5
Kent State
26.7
Kent State win probability: 51%
Margin (Kent State − Massachusetts): 0.2 (80% range -21 to 21)
Total: 53.2 (80% range 30 to 78)
Actual: Massachusetts 6 – Kent State 42 (margin error 35.8, total error 5.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.