2025 Week 7 · Oct 9, 2025, 11:00 PM · Fifth Third Stadium
Louisiana Tech @ Kennesaw State
Predicted scoreLean
Louisiana Tech
24.9
Kennesaw State
18.2
Kennesaw State win probability: 33%
Margin (Kennesaw State − Louisiana Tech): -6.7 (80% range -26 to 12)
Total: 43.2 (80% range 23 to 65)
Actual: Louisiana Tech 7 – Kennesaw State 35 (margin error 34.7, total error 1.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 10 | 0.90% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.89% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.85% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.84% |
| 21 | 14 | 0.84% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.