Predicted scoreToss-up
Liberty
23.0
UTEP
20.9
UTEP win probability: 44%
Margin (UTEP − Liberty): -2.1 (80% range -21 to 17)
Total: 43.9 (80% range 23 to 66)
Actual: Liberty 19 – UTEP 8 (margin error 8.9, total error 16.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.88% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.86% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.83% |
| 17 | 14 | 0.80% |
| 14 | 14 | 0.80% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.