2025 Week 6 · Oct 4, 2025, 11:30 PM · Kyle Field
Mississippi State @ Texas A&M
Predicted scoreLikely
Mississippi State
20.8
Texas A&M
30.9
Texas A&M win probability: 74%
Margin (Texas A&M − Mississippi State): 10.1 (80% range -10 to 31)
Total: 51.8 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Mississippi State 9 – Texas A&M 31 (margin error 11.9, total error 11.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.82% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.80% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.75% |
| 14 | 28 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.