2025 Week 6 · Oct 4, 2025, 7:30 PM · Kidd Brewer Stadium
Oregon State @ App State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Oregon State
29.2
App State
28.9
App State win probability: 49%
Margin (App State − Oregon State): -0.3 (80% range -21 to 21)
Total: 58.2 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: Oregon State 23 – App State 27 (margin error 4.3, total error 8.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.65% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.