2025 Week 6 · Oct 4, 2025, 7:30 PM · SECU Stadium
Washington @ Maryland
Predicted scoreToss-up
Washington
25.5
Maryland
25.0
Maryland win probability: 48%
Margin (Maryland − Washington): -0.5 (80% range -21 to 20)
Total: 50.6 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Washington 24 – Maryland 20 (margin error 3.5, total error 6.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.67% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.