2025 Week 6 · Oct 4, 2025, 7:00 PM · Arizona Stadium
Oklahoma State @ Arizona
Predicted scoreConfident
Oklahoma State
19.5
Arizona
37.3
Arizona win probability: 86%
Margin (Arizona − Oklahoma State): 17.8 (80% range -3 to 39)
Total: 56.7 (80% range 34 to 82)
Actual: Oklahoma State 13 – Arizona 41 (margin error 10.2, total error 2.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.79% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.