2025 Week 6 · Oct 4, 2025, 4:00 PM · Acrisure Stadium
Boston College @ Pittsburgh
Predicted scoreToss-up
Boston College
23.4
Pittsburgh
26.3
Pittsburgh win probability: 57%
Margin (Pittsburgh − Boston College): 2.9 (80% range -17 to 23)
Total: 49.7 (80% range 27 to 73)
Actual: Boston College 7 – Pittsburgh 48 (margin error 38.1, total error 5.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.83% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 14 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.