2025 Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025, 11:30 PM · Memorial Stadium
Massachusetts @ Missouri
Predicted scoreConfident
Massachusetts
11.8
Missouri
43.0
Missouri win probability: 98%
Margin (Missouri − Massachusetts): 31.2 (80% range 11 to 52)
Total: 54.8 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Massachusetts 6 – Missouri 42 (margin error 4.8, total error 6.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 35 | 0.95% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.95% |
| 7 | 45 | 0.95% |
| 7 | 42 | 0.86% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.83% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.