2025 Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025, 11:30 PM · Canvas Stadium
Washington State @ Colorado State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Washington State
26.5
Colorado State
28.9
Colorado State win probability: 56%
Margin (Colorado State − Washington State): 2.4 (80% range -18 to 23)
Total: 55.4 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Washington State 20 – Colorado State 3 (margin error 19.4, total error 32.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.65% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.