2025 Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025, 7:30 PM · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

LSU @ Ole Miss

Predicted scoreLikely

LSU

22.5

Ole Miss

32.5

Ole Miss win probability: 73%

Margin (Ole Miss − LSU): 9.9 (80% range -11 to 31)

Total: 55.0 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: LSU 19 – Ole Miss 24 (margin error 4.9, total error 12.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.