2025 Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025, 7:30 PM · Milan Puskar Stadium
Utah @ West Virginia
Predicted scoreLean
Utah
29.5
West Virginia
23.2
West Virginia win probability: 34%
Margin (West Virginia − Utah): -6.3 (80% range -27 to 14)
Total: 52.7 (80% range 30 to 77)
Actual: Utah 48 – West Virginia 14 (margin error 27.7, total error 9.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.