Predicted scoreConfident
Akron
14.1
Toledo
33.0
Toledo win probability: 89%
Margin (Toledo − Akron): 18.9 (80% range 0 to 39)
Total: 47.1 (80% range 26 to 69)
Actual: Akron 3 – Toledo 45 (margin error 23.1, total error 0.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 28 | 0.95% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.89% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.89% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.87% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.85% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.