Predicted scoreLean
UL Monroe
20.2
UTEP
27.5
UTEP win probability: 68%
Margin (UTEP − UL Monroe): 7.3 (80% range -13 to 28)
Total: 47.7 (80% range 27 to 71)
Actual: UL Monroe 31 – UTEP 25 (margin error 13.3, total error 8.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 24 | 0.89% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.84% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.84% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.