2025 Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025, 11:30 PM · Gesa Field
Washington @ Washington State
Predicted scoreLean
Washington
29.2
Washington State
21.0
Washington State win probability: 30%
Margin (Washington State − Washington): -8.2 (80% range -28 to 11)
Total: 50.2 (80% range 27 to 75)
Actual: Washington 59 – Washington State 24 (margin error 26.8, total error 32.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.72% |
| 21 | 14 | 0.69% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 14 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.