2025 Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025, 11:00 PM · Memorial Stadium
South Carolina @ Missouri
Predicted scoreLean
South Carolina
21.3
Missouri
25.8
Missouri win probability: 61%
Margin (Missouri − South Carolina): 4.5 (80% range -14 to 24)
Total: 47.0 (80% range 24 to 70)
Actual: South Carolina 20 – Missouri 29 (margin error 4.5, total error 2.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.81% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.72% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.72% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.