2025 Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025, 10:00 PM · Memorial Stadium
West Virginia @ Kansas
Predicted scoreLean
West Virginia
26.1
Kansas
31.6
Kansas win probability: 63%
Margin (Kansas − West Virginia): 5.5 (80% range -15 to 27)
Total: 57.7 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: West Virginia 10 – Kansas 41 (margin error 25.5, total error 6.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.63% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.