2025 Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025, 7:30 PM · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

Tulane @ Ole Miss

Predicted scoreLikely

Tulane

19.3

Ole Miss

34.9

Ole Miss win probability: 84%

Margin (Ole Miss − Tulane): 15.6 (80% range -4 to 36)

Total: 54.2 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Tulane 10 – Ole Miss 45 (margin error 19.4, total error 0.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.