2025 Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025, 4:00 PM · Rice-Eccles Stadium
Texas Tech @ Utah
Predicted scoreLikely
Texas Tech
19.0
Utah
30.3
Utah win probability: 76%
Margin (Utah − Texas Tech): 11.3 (80% range -9 to 31)
Total: 49.4 (80% range 27 to 73)
Actual: Texas Tech 34 – Utah 10 (margin error 35.3, total error 5.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.85% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.67% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.